Charting Intel's course

— 11:01 PM on March 28, 2004

In this article (translator here, choose the second dropdown item), Hiroshige Goto extrapolates an Intel roadmap from official and not-so-official information on the company's plans for the next several years. Not content to follow AMD to 64-bit x86 extensions, processor model numbers, and possibly on-chip memory controllers, Intel may also be canning Pentium 4's high-clock-speed, low-instructions-per-clock (IPC) NetBurst architecture. In its place, Intel may use a chip code-named Merom, a descendant of the lower-speed, higher-IPC Pentium M. Merom's desktop variant, mentioned in passing, is believed to be Conroe, a chip we should hear much more about in the future. Judging by the scaling trend of the Pentium 4 since its debut in 2001, the company may be jumping ship a bit before reaching its viable limit of 10GHz. If Goto's right, times of change are coming to Intel, and its leadership is ready to make expedient course corrections.

Looking into his crystal ball, Hiro sees many things. The new Pentium 4 Prescott processors will give way to Tejas at 65nm, and then, according to the article, the line will end with Cedarmill, a tweaked Tejas design, possibly with twin cores. In fact, Goto believes that dual-core designs appear up and down the line, from servers to laptops, by 2006. Construction ahead on the Intel roadmap.

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