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Speculation of Spot ETH ETF Approval This Summer – Ethereum Dominance?

Leah Alger Senior Crypto Journalist Author expertise
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Speculation of Spot ETH ETF Approval This Summer – Ethereum Dominance?

Following the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) approval of Form 19b-4 for ETH ETFs in May, the SEC’s Chairman, Gary Gensler, recently announced ETH ETFs could be fully approved by the end of this summer

Such speculation has given crypto investors a glimmer of hope as the price of $ETH dipped by 7.8% this past week.

If ETH ETFs are approved by September, this could fuel the rise of the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency (by market cap) among other decentralized currencies

ETH ETF Approval Effects

Soon after the SEC approved the first round of applications (Form 19b-4) for spot ETH ETFs, $ETH spiked by 8.33%, from roughly $3.6K to $3.9K. Its price has since dwindled to around $3.5K, per CoinMarketCap

Ethereum market cap 16 May to 13 June

The ETH ETF application followed the approval of Bitcoin ETFs on January 10, which saw Bitcoin reach greater heights – despite already being the world’s number one cryptocurrency. 

As a result of the ETF approval, Bitcoin – valued at $46K beforehand – hit its ATH of over $75K on March 21. $BTC’s current price is $66.9K, spotlighting a 45.43% rise since the SEC’s authorization. 

Bitcoin market cap July 2023 to May 2024

Analysts anticipate a similar surge in $ETH’s price if its ETFs are approved. Here’s why: 

  • ETFs provide a familiar, highly regulated investment vehicle for financial institutions, potentially sparking significant capital inflow into the Ethereum ecosystem.
  • SEC approval may alleviate uncertainties about Ethereum’s legal status as a security, potentially resulting in more mainstream investors. 
  • A higher $ETH value could boost the DeFi economy, leading to more overall activity in the Web3 realm. 

According to Market Insider, the trading firm QCP Capital estimates the price of $ETH to rise by 60% following the anticipated ETF approval. This would bring ETH’s value to $5.6K at the time of writing. 

Is ETH a Commodity? 

Still, the question of whether Ethereum is a security or commodity needs to be answered and raises concerns. 

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTF) perceives ETH as a commodity. Meanwhile, Gensler remains tight-lipped about its classification.

Cryptocurrency classification affects how it is perceived, regulated, and traded. Interestingly,  the SEC’s former Chair, Jay Clayton, said Bitcoin is not a security in June 2018.

Cryptocurrencies: These are replacements for sovereign currencies, replace the dollar, the euro, the yen with Bitcoin. That type of currency is not a security.Jay Clayton

The Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act could address this issue, but it’s awaiting Senate approval. There would be more regulatory clarity if it were to be classified as a commodity.

Crypto regulation is crucial because it helps reduce uncertainty and enhance investor confidence in the market. 

Potential ETFs Beyond ETH and BTC

Alongside the possible approval of ETH ETFs, there is widespread speculation about whether other cryptocurrencies will follow suit

In a recent YouTube video, Chainlink’s Sergey Nazarov discusses how more ETFs – beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum – may be approved in the future.

This is a sign of a very clear trend. Not only Bitcoin and not only ETH but many other tokens will end up getting their ETFs at some point, allowing the larger global capital markets to interact with that financial product.Sergey Nazarov

According to Standard Chartered’s Head of Crypto Research and Emerging Market Foreign Currencies, Geoffrey Kendrick, Solana ($SOL) and Ripple ($XRP) are the next contenders for ETF approval

It’s only a matter of time before other major digital coins also receive ETF status.Geoffrey Kendrick

 The Future of Crypto Adoption

The SEC’s approval of Ethereum ETFs would mark a pivotal moment in the blockchain realm, as it would increase credibility and mitigate legal uncertainty. 

Considering Ethereum already leads in hosting top smart contract protocols and developer activity, the potential capital inflow from the ETFs could further enhance its position in the Web3 space. 

As the ecosystem evolves and its community swells owing to an enhanced ETH price, spot ETFs could not only propel Ethereum but also other smart contract platforms (like Solana and Cardano) and cryptocurrencies.

Still, are ETH ETFs the best path for the industry, or would a more balanced multi-chain ecosystem be better for wide-scale adoption? Only time will tell

As always, it’s important to DYOR when making any crypto investment. The blockchain space is volatile and speculative. 

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article do not constitute financial advice. We encourage readers to conduct their own research and determine their own risk tolerance before making any financial decisions. Cryptocurrency is a highly volatile, high-risk asset class.
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Leah Alger Senior Crypto Journalist

Leah Alger Senior Crypto Journalist

Leah is a seasoned British journalist with nine years of expertise who specializes in web3 reporting. Her insightful contributions have graced the pages of respected publications such as NFT Plazas, Bitcolumnist, NFT Lately, Cointelegraph, and Coinbound, among others.With a keen eye for detail, she offers distinct perspectives on the ever-evolving landscape of blockchain technology.

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