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JustAnEngineer
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Re: NFL 2018

Mon Oct 15, 2018 10:31 pm

NFL parity has certainly made for a lot more entertaining close games this season, compared to most.
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Re: NFL 2018

Mon Oct 15, 2018 10:33 pm

I actually think the Rams may be the better team right now. The caveat on time there is because the Chiefs are severely depleted on D right now. Once they get the DEs back, along with Eric, they should be quite a bit better.

Also, Rodgers doing Rodgers stuff tonight. Pretty fun to watch.
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Re: NFL 2018

Wed Oct 17, 2018 8:44 am

Week 7

Thursday Night Football 10/18
Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals

Sunday 10/21
Tennessee Titans vs. Los Angeles Chargers in London
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars
Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles
Minnesota Vikings at New York Jets
New England Patriots at Chicago Bears
Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts
Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins
New Orleans Saints at Baltimore Ravens
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins
Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers

Sunday Night Football
Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs

Monday Night Football, 10/22
New York Giants at Atlanta Falcons

Even on short rest, I will take the Denver Defense over the nonexistent Arizona offense. I will also take the "better than their record" Falcons over the Giants even though this is a perfect game for the G-Men to surprise everyone. I'm picking my Colts again because Peterman is back at starting QB, and I'm expecting at least two interceptions from him. Well Peterman will NOT be starting on Sunday. I'm sticking with the Colts, though.

Games to watch this week are in Baltimore and KC. The former should be a good battle between playoff contenders. The latter is the second SNF in a row for Mahomes and the Chiefs, who should take this one.
Last edited by superjawes on Sun Oct 21, 2018 3:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: NFL 2018

Wed Oct 17, 2018 8:05 pm

FiveThirtyEight wrote:
Best Matchups of week 7:
Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles - 1 PM Sunday (best)
Tennessee Titans & Los Angeles Chargers (in London) - 9:30 AM Sunday
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins - 4:25 PM Sunday
New Orleans Saints at Baltimore Ravens - 4:05 PM Sunday

Worst matchups:
Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts - 1 PM Sunday
Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals - 8:20 PM Thursday
Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 1 PM Sunday (worst)


Here's a stat for you:
Sam Darnold has a better season average QBR than Eli Manning.
http://www.espn.com/nfl/qbr
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Re: NFL 2018

Thu Oct 18, 2018 8:26 am

Drew Brees has a chance to beat all 32 NFL teams. He would only be the third QB to do so, behind Manning and Favre (good company there).
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Re: NFL 2018

Fri Oct 19, 2018 2:31 pm

Byron Leftwich is the new Offensive Coordinator for the Cardinals:
http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/2502 ... mike-mccoy
Steve Keim wrote:
"When you are in this situation, it's lonely. At the same time you find out a lot about yourself, you find out a lot about your organization. You have two choices. You can curl up in a ball and hope it goes away -- which it's not -- or you come out swinging and fight. As far as I'm concerned, I'm coming out swinging like hell."
Mark Duffner is the new DC in Tampa:
http://www.espn.com/blog/tampa-bay-bucc ... nator-role

http://www.espn.com/nfl/draft2019/story ... p-10-picks
1-6 Arizona Cardinals are a half game up in what appears to be a six-team race for the first overall pick in the 2019 draft. They need help at WR, OL and CB.
1-5 New Jersey Giants are in sorry shape. They needed a quarterback in 2018 and they foolishly passed on good options. They'll need QB, Edge DE/LB and OT when the next draft starts.
1-5 Oakland Raiders have the second or third best odds of picking #1 overall, but that doesn't take into consideration any additional trades by Jon Gruden to burn the existing team to the ground in a tank-o-rama. They have needs at DE (post Khalil Mack), DB and QB.
2-3-1 Cleveland Browns have less than an 8% chance of having the #1 overall pick in 2019. They need help at WR (post Josh Gordon) and at LB and CB.
1-5 Indianapolis Colts need WR, DE and CB.
1-5 San Francisco 49ers need DE, WR and CB.
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Re: NFL 2018

Sun Oct 21, 2018 7:34 pm

Week 7 - Results

Thursday Night Football 10/18
Denver Broncos 45 at Arizona Cardinals 10

Sunday 10/21
Tennessee Titans 19 vs. Los Angeles Chargers 20 in London
Houston Texans 20 at Jacksonville Jaguars 7
Carolina Panthers 21 at Philadelphia Eagles 17
Minnesota Vikings 37 at New York Jets 17
New England Patriots 38 at Chicago Bears 31
Buffalo Bills 5 at Indianapolis Colts 37
Cleveland Browns 23 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26
Detroit Lions 32 at Miami Dolphins 21
New Orleans Saints 23 at Baltimore Ravens 22
Dallas Cowboys 17 at Washington Redskins 20
Los Angeles Rams 39 at San Francisco 49ers 10

Sunday Night Football
Cincinnati Bengals 10 at Kansas City Chiefs 45

Monday Night Football, 10/22
New York Giants 20 at Atlanta Falcons 23

Brees how now defeated all 32 NFL teams. In other news, Blake Bortles was benched in their home loss against the Texans.

SNFEDIT: MAN do Mahomes and the Chiefs look good. I don't care if they lost last week, I like them as the best team in the AFC.

MNFEDIT: Pat Shurmur, what the **** are you DOING?!?
Last edited by superjawes on Mon Oct 22, 2018 10:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: NFL 2018

Mon Oct 22, 2018 3:16 pm

JustAnEngineer wrote:
Byron Leftwich is the new Offensive Coordinator for the Cardinals:
http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/2502 ... mike-mccoy
Steve Keim wrote:
"When you are in this situation, it's lonely. At the same time you find out a lot about yourself, you find out a lot about your organization. You have two choices. You can curl up in a ball and hope it goes away -- which it's not -- or you come out swinging and fight. As far as I'm concerned, I'm coming out swinging like hell."
Mark Duffner is the new DC in Tampa:
http://www.espn.com/blog/tampa-bay-bucc ... nator-role

http://www.espn.com/nfl/draft2019/story ... p-10-picks
1-6 Arizona Cardinals are a half game up in what appears to be a six-team race for the first overall pick in the 2019 draft. They need help at WR, OL and CB.
1-5 New Jersey Giants are in sorry shape. They needed a quarterback in 2018 and they foolishly passed on good options. They'll need QB, Edge DE/LB and OT when the next draft starts.
1-5 Oakland Raiders have the second or third best odds of picking #1 overall, but that doesn't take into consideration any additional trades by Jon Gruden to burn the existing team to the ground in a tank-o-rama. They have needs at DE (post Khalil Mack), DB and QB.
2-3-1 Cleveland Browns have less than an 8% chance of having the #1 overall pick in 2019. They need help at WR (post Josh Gordon) and at LB and CB.
1-5 Indianapolis Colts need WR, DE and CB.
1-5 San Francisco 49ers need DE, WR and CB.


And now the Raiders fleeced the Cowboys for another first round pick. :P Here's hoping the Raiders do the very Raiders thing of drafting horribly bad.. (so we can add WR to the list of needs.. and probably RB if Lynch is done)
 
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Re: NFL 2018

Mon Oct 22, 2018 7:54 pm

druidcent wrote:
JustAnEngineer wrote:
1-5 Oakland Raiders have the second or third best odds of picking #1 overall, but that doesn't take into consideration any additional trades by Jon Gruden to burn the existing team to the ground in a tank-o-rama.
And now the Raiders fleeced the Cowboys for another first round pick.
The Mack trade was indefensible. In the case of Amari Cooper, the Raiders weren't using him much, anyway. To get anything better than a third round pick for him was a great deal for the Raiders.

Spain and Fitz asked tonight: "If the Raiders aren’t ‘tanking’...what do you call what they ARE doing? "
https://twitter.com/spainandfitz?lang=en
Last edited by JustAnEngineer on Mon Oct 22, 2018 7:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: NFL 2018

Mon Oct 22, 2018 7:59 pm

They're tanking. Some defenders can call it "rebuild" if they like. It's the same thing.

Now I'm just wondering if Carr is gonna be wearing Black and Silver for the remainder of the year.
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Re: NFL 2018

Mon Oct 22, 2018 9:59 pm

DancinJack wrote:
Now I'm just wondering if Carr is gonna be wearing Black and Silver for the remainder of the year.

Who do you think would take him? Lots of teams needing offensive help this year, but the worst offenders have similar records, putting them in the "race" for #1 overall. Even a top 5 pick could potentially net a good rookie.
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Re: NFL 2018

Mon Oct 22, 2018 10:23 pm

The Raiders now have 5 first round picks in the next two years. wow.
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Re: NFL 2018

Mon Oct 22, 2018 10:32 pm

superjawes wrote:
DancinJack wrote:
Now I'm just wondering if Carr is gonna be wearing Black and Silver for the remainder of the year.

Who do you think would take him? Lots of teams needing offensive help this year, but the worst offenders have similar records, putting them in the "race" for #1 overall. Even a top 5 pick could potentially net a good rookie.

The Jags? Giants?

Yeah, you're right though. Most of the teams that REALLY need a QB are teams like the Giants that will potentially get at least a couple first rounders next year. The Jags are in an interesting middle ground I suppose. Bortles hasn't been great, but they have the talent on D to compete with just about anyone given an even semi-competent offense.
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Re: NFL 2018

Tue Oct 23, 2018 3:29 am

DancinJack wrote:
The Jags are in an interesting middle ground I suppose. Bortles hasn't been great, but they have the talent on D to compete with just about anyone given an even semi-competent offense.
Daniel Popper, The Athletic wrote:
The Jaguars are sinking helplessly into the burning cauldron with no lifeline in sight.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/th ... s-anymore/
Michael Salfino, FiveThirtyEight wrote:
The real reason for the team’s struggles is that its super-human defense is not merely regressing as expected in forcing turnovers and converting them into touchdowns — it’s collapsing. There’s no denying that Bortles and the offense are a problem. But this was perfectly predictable. This year, Bortles is playing exactly like you would have expected. His QBR and passer rating are similar to his career rates, and his yards per dropbacks metric is actually significantly better. Make no mistake, the Jaguars defense overall is still very good — It’s just not supplementing an offense that needs supplementing. So now the Jaguars attack isn’t Bortles-plus — it’s just Bortles. And completely unsurprisingly, “just Bortles” is not a recipe for NFL success.
In sixteen games in 2017, the Jaguars defense had 33 takeaways and 7 defensive touchdowns. In seven games so far in 2018, they've had just 5 takeaways and 1 defensive touchdown. If all you have on offense is Blake Bortles, that's not good enough.

http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/2504 ... contenders
Bill Barnwell, ESPN wrote:
If the Jaguars had a better backup, the case for benching Bortles would be compelling. As is, they aren't likely to encounter many significant upgrades in the trade market. The reality is that Bortles just seems to go through stretches like this. From Weeks 2-6 last season, Bortles posted a QBR of 40.1. Over the next three games, Bortles' 90.6 QBR was the best in the league. He posted a league-high passer rating of 128.6 from Weeks 13-15 in 2017, then settled in at less than half that mark -- 62.3 -- over the final two weeks of the regular season and the narrow playoff victory over the Bills. Good Blake and Bad Blake are going to show up for different stretches during a typical Jags season. You might understand why the Jaguars would be sick of that experience, but they're the ones who signed up for a repeat performance. Remember that Bortles was originally in his fifth-year option this season, only for Jacksonville to re-sign him to a three-year, $54 million extension this offseason.
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Re: NFL 2018

Tue Oct 23, 2018 9:17 am

Just to add another wrinkle to potential Carr trades, he's on a 5-year, $125m contract. I think Gruden is stuck with him whether he likes it or not, but as long as Carr is "good enough", a 1st overall pick could be traded to someone who REALLY needs a new QB...like the Jaguars :lol:
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Re: NFL 2018

Wed Oct 24, 2018 8:50 am

Week 8

Thursday Night Football 10/25
Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans

Sunday 10/28
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Jacksonville Jaguars in London
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers
Washington Redskins at New York Giants
Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals
New York Jets at Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens at Carolina Panthers
Indianapolis Colts at "Oakland" Raiders
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals
Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Rams

Sunday Night Football
New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings

Monday Night Football, 10/29
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills

I'm going with the Chiefs (again) despite having a tough challenge against Denver's defense. I also like the Lions and Bears this week, although those matchups should be close.

Games to watch are in LA and Minneapolis. The Packers are coming off their bye for a shot at finally taking down the Rams, and the Saints are returning for a rematch against a very different Vikings team. Honestly, I expect that game to be a shootout, which should be fun to watch.

I'm also going to add that there is a not insignificant chance that the Browns and Steelers tie. Again.
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Re: NFL 2018

Fri Oct 26, 2018 5:01 pm

If we (Packers) beat the spread, I'll be thrilled. Weeks like this, I miss Licketysplit. He was a master at calling point spreads.
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Re: NFL 2018

Sun Oct 28, 2018 4:17 pm

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Re: NFL 2018

Sun Oct 28, 2018 6:54 pm

Week 8 - Results

Thursday Night Football 10/25
Miami Dolphins 23 at Houston Texans 42

Sunday 10/28
Philadelphia Eagles 24 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars in London 18
Denver Broncos 23 at Kansas City Chiefs 30
Cleveland Browns 18 at Pittsburgh Steelers 33
Washington Redskins 20 at New York Giants 13
Seattle Seahawks 28 at Detroit Lions 14
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 34 at Cincinnati Bengals 37
New York Jets 10 at Chicago Bears 24
Baltimore Ravens 21 at Carolina Panthers 36
Indianapolis Colts 42 at "Oakland" Raiders 28
San Francisco 49ers 15 at Arizona Cardinals 18
Green Bay Packers 27 at Los Angeles Rams 29

Sunday Night Football
New Orleans Saints 30 at Minnesota Vikings 20

Monday Night Football, 10/29
New England Patriots 25 at Buffalo Bills 6

First up, Adam Vinatieri takes the all-time scoring record in Week 8. Congrats to him.

Second, I've been making picks for a while now, and I figured that I would pull some numbers. Through 8 weeks, I have made 29 picks, with 19 of those being good (0.655 for percentage). My most picked AND most reliable team has been the Kansas City Chiefs (5-0). My worst team is the Philadelphia Eagles (1-2), at least among teams I have picked more than once.
Last edited by superjawes on Tue Oct 30, 2018 1:33 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: NFL 2018

Mon Oct 29, 2018 5:12 am

This Thursday night (11/1), the NFL gives us its worst-ever primetime match-up. The 1-7 San Francisco 49ers saw their hopes for a winning season end when Jimmy Garoppolo tore ligaments in his knee on 9/23. The 1-6 Oakland Raiders have beem tanking hard since Jon Gruden decided to burn the roster to the ground and draft all new players. The oddsmakers have the 49ers as a 3-point favorite in this matchup of terrible teams.

The 49ers could establish a lead in the race for the first pick in the 2019 draft by losing across the bay in Oakland this week and then following it up with a loss at home to the 1-7 New Jersey Giants next week. The 49ers have already provided the 2-6 Arizona Cardinals with their only two wins of the season (though the Cardinals host the Raiders on 11/18).
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Re: NFL 2018

Mon Oct 29, 2018 11:54 am

Six more years of bad Browns teams!

Is Hue Jackson a good coach? Probably not, but the Cleveland Coaching Carousel is probably doing more harm than any single coach. Jackson is coming off his "best" season with the Browns, notching 2.5 wins after going 1-31 from 2016-17. If management weren't happy, THAT was the time to can him. Instead, Cleveland are starting over (again). Hopefully Baker Mayfield will find himself on a team with a better future before the Browns destroy him.
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Re: NFL 2018

Wed Oct 31, 2018 7:13 pm

Week 9

Thursday Night Football 11/1
"Oakland" Raiders at San Francisco 49ers

Sunday 11/4
Chicago Bears at Buffalo Bills
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers
Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins
Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens
Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings
Atlanta Falcons at Washington Redskins
Houston Texans at Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints

Sunday Night Football
Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots

Monday Night Football, 11/5
Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys

Easy picks with the Bears and Chiefs winning...I feel so sorry for Cleveland. I don't think the coaching change will do anything this week. The risky pick is the Saints over the Rams. On paper, I think the Rams should dominate. However, Sean Payton found a way to manhandle the Ravens in Baltimore. I think he brings a game plan that catches LA off guard in what will be the best game of the week.

I would love for the Packers/Patriots game to be great , but the trade of Ha Ha Clinton-Dix just doesn't sit right with me. Shipping off Ty Montgomery after that fiasco in LA made sense. Giving up one of their key defenders does not.
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Re: NFL 2018

Fri Nov 02, 2018 7:14 am

JustAnEngineer wrote:
The 1-6 Oakland Raiders have beem tanking hard since Jon Gruden decided to burn the roster to the ground and draft all new players. The oddsmakers have the 49ers as a 3-point favorite in this matchup of terrible teams.
Chucky the Tanker led the Raiders to make the 49ers 3rd-string QB Nick Mullens look like the second coming of Jim Kelly in his first start:
http://www.espn.com/blog/oakland-raider ... -no-1-pick
http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/2515 ... ers-cruise
Last edited by JustAnEngineer on Fri Nov 02, 2018 9:33 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: NFL 2018

Fri Nov 02, 2018 8:29 am

I decided to skip that game because I thought it'd just be a dumpster fire. Seeing the score now makes me regret that a bit...but only a bit :lol:
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Re: NFL 2018

Fri Nov 02, 2018 7:29 pm

superjawes wrote:
I decided to skip that game because I thought it'd just be a dumpster fire. Seeing the score now makes me regret that a bit...but only a bit :lol:


It was interesting mostly because the Raiders made a first-time starter look so good. And the Raiders looked so bad.
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Re: NFL 2018

Sun Nov 04, 2018 7:39 pm

Week 9 - Results

Thursday Night Football 11/1
"Oakland" Raiders 3 at San Francisco 49ers 34

Sunday 11/4
Chicago Bears 41 at Buffalo Bills 9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 28 at Carolina Panthers 42
Kansas City Chiefs 37 at Cleveland Browns 21
New York Jets 6 at Miami Dolphins 13
Pittsburgh Steelers 23 at Baltimore Ravens 16
Detroit Lions 9 at Minnesota Vikings 18
Atlanta Falcons 38 at Washington Redskins 14
Houston Texans 19 at Denver Broncos 17
Los Angeles Chargers 25 at Seattle Seahawks 17
Los Angeles Rams 35 at New Orleans Saints 45

Sunday Night Football
Green Bay Packers 17 at New England Patriots 31

Monday Night Football, 11/5
Tennessee Titans 28 at Dallas Cowboys 14

And the Rams fall! All hail the new bosses of the NFC! Seriously, though, the Saints are looking really good. I'm not sure they have the best overall talent, but their ability to command games, even against the best in the league, will take them far.
Last edited by superjawes on Tue Nov 06, 2018 8:46 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: NFL 2018

Sun Nov 04, 2018 7:51 pm

I wouldn't mind seeing these matchups for Conference Championships:

AFC - KC vs New England
NFC - LAR vs NO

Those four are the four that really stand out to me at this point. Here's to hoping.
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Re: NFL 2018

Mon Nov 05, 2018 8:47 am

A KC vs. NE rematch should be good, but I would prefer that game to be played in KC. I'm willing to concede that the Rams are good, but I'm not convinced they make the Conference Championship. They looked good last year, too, only to get outscored 2:1 by the Falcons. With the Bears, Eagles, Panthers, Falcons, and Seahawks realistically in contention for playoff spots, LA will have to host a strong team with a potentially weak home field advantage.

Also, I'm not sure if anyone is "officially" eliminated from playoff contention, but I think we can safely rule out the Raiders, Browns, Bills, Broncos, Giants, 49ers, Buccaneers, and Cardinals
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Re: NFL 2018

Tue Nov 06, 2018 11:49 am

Packers might as well be eliminated, with the way they've played and their injuries.
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Re: NFL 2018

Wed Nov 07, 2018 10:54 pm

Week 10

Thursday Night Football 11/8
Carolina Panthers at Pittsburgh Steelers

Sunday 11/11
New Orleans Saints at Cincinnati Bengals
Atlanta Falcons at Cleveland Browns
Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears
Arizona Cardinals at Kansas City Chiefs
New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans
Washington Redskins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets
Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts
Los Angeles Chargers at "Oakland" Raiders
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams
Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers

Sunday Night Football
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles

Monday Night Football, 11/12
New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers

Picking the Chiefs and Saints. No surprise there. These are the best teams in their respective conferences right now, and I think they continue their campaigns for #1 seed. I also like the Chargers this week, but I would almost pick any team over the Raiders. Rounding out the picks is an important game for Philadelphia. The Cowboys aren't great, but a division win (at home!) would be huge, and it would keep the Eagles within spitting distance of Washington.

If you're looking for games to watch, I think Saints/Bengals will be close, and Seahawks/Rams will be hugely important. The Rams need to bounce back after losing their first game of the year, and the Seahawks need need a win in order to keep playoff hopes alive.
On second thought, let's not go to TechReport. Tis a silly place.

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