K-L-Waster wrote:OT observation -- one of the posts from 10 years ago (yeesh) was pondering whether or not AMD was going to survive.
Scary that it's really only been in the past 9 months or so we've been able to say with confidence "yeah, they will."
Since all their reduction in overhead and taking over the console space, I've been pretty confident that they at least had time to catch up, considering how slowly the competition has moved. It's just a shame that it's taking so long for them. I miss the leap-frogging and one-upping that made reading this site so exciting.
Now it's more like the hare and the tortoise. AMD caught up because Intel wasn't moving. In fact, it's starting to look like we really have reached or are close to reaching the end of Moore's Law, so it was only a matter of time. 18-month improvements are going to settle into single digits for everyone pretty soon, I think.
That's not so say everything will be worse. There's still going to be competition, and there's a lifetime of advancements to be made with electronics in general. It's just not going to be as fun to stay on top of as it used to be. Only revolutionary advancements will be noteworthy, while evolutionary will be more abysmal than ever.
The only things that I think will keep a good pace after the next few years are highly parallel processing, but it's not going to get any cheaper to make bigger chips with bigger packages and more layers. The vision these companies have of moving into the cloud is because maybe, eventually, that's the only way we can afford it.