EA: PlayStation 3 will outsell Xbox 360 this year

After a slow start, Sony’s PlayStation 3 seems to be gaining steam. Sony sold about as many PS3s last quarter as it did since the console’s launch in November 2006, and its decision to back the Blu-ray format has apparently proven to be the right one, with HD DVD now lacking support from most movie studios.

According to estimates released by Electronic Arts and relayed by GamesIndustry.biz, the PlayStation 3 may do well this year. In fact, game publishing giant Electronic Arts believes the console will outsell Microsoft’s Xbox 360 by at least 1.5 million units. EA’s estimates position the PS3 in second place with an expected 9.5 -11.5 million unit sales in ’08, compared to 6-8 million for the 360 and 3.9-4.9 million for the PlayStation 2. The PS3 could even come close to the popularity of Nintendo’s Wii, which EA thinks will sell 12-14 million units this year.

EA believes the tipping point for the PS3’s performance in 2008 will be the European market, which it expects to account for 5-6 million PS3 sales but only 1.5-2.5 million Xbox 360 sales. Those numbers should contrast with those for North America, where EA expects the PS3 and Xbox 360 to tie with 4.5-5.5 million sales each.

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    • Cannyone
    • 12 years ago

    The market statistics don’t show this happening. Some of the basic principles of Economics fly in the face of this happening. So where do these analysts get their ideas?
    This sounds like more of Sony’s “spin” to me! They are constantly pulling this kind of marketing crap. But that doesn’t change the real facts. The PS3 is expensive and lacks backward compatibility.
    The success of the Wii, highlights just how important a console’s price can be to it’s adoption. (That’s all clearly indicated by Economics.) So what happens if Microsoft can eliminate the RRoD, and drop the price of it’s Xbox 360s even more?
    Some PS3s will undoubtedly be sold for their Blue-Ray capability. And others will sell based on the desirability of a few exclusive titles. But there’s nothing to indicate that the PS3s sales increase will be on the order of magnitude these guys are predicting. This is wishful thinking on Sony’s part. And they’ve farmed it out to make it seem more credible.

    • cygnus1
    • 12 years ago

    All that Microsoft has to do to trip up sony, would be to launch a Blu-Ray add-on drive and/or a 360 with integrated Blu-Ray. If that happens, BAM! no reason other than gaming (which for the PS3 isnt a reason) to buy a PS3

      • MixedPower
      • 12 years ago

      I doubt it. First of all, it would cannibalize sales for their HD-DVD add-on, especially if the format tanked soon after. That wouldn’t be an unlikely scenario since Microsoft has a lot of clout in the industry and a lot of the smaller companies backing the format would see the shift as the beginning of the end for HD-DVD and follow suit. Suffice to say, I don’t think Microsoft will jump on the Blu-Ray bandwagon while HD-DVD still has life. Of course I’m no market analyst or anything, so this is purely conjecture based on what little I know on the subject.

      You do have to consider the price, though. I’m thinking a Blu-Ray add-on would at least be $180, making a 360 core system with the add-on a fair amount more expensive than a 40GB PS3.

      • green
      • 12 years ago

      that would be if the BDA allow microsoft to use an external blu-ray player for the xbox360
      if not they lose out on blu-ray and they’d have to find someway to make use of their hd-dvd drive
      which is going to be pretty hard when the drive is an optional component only
      much like how there are xbox360’s without a hdd meaning you gotta take in the lowest common factor
      (ie. no hdd, no hd-dvd, no wifi, etc)

      even if they got a blu-ray drive for xbox360 it would only play movies
      much like you don’t get hd-dvd games because not all xbox360’s have a drive
      ps3 could “potentially” get blu-ray games because all ps3’s ship with a blu-ray drive

    • bogbox
    • 12 years ago

    in some country in EU , XBOX LIVE & PS3 online not really work.
    And the rate a of the Red Ring of Death is stil active , and is very difficult to fix. Plus the price of the consoles ,and the games.
    Not really worth owning one console with 3:1 failure ( xbos ) but ps3 is incompatibale with older games ,so not for me.

    • Tommyxx516
    • 12 years ago

    Theres 2 wars going on – 1) console and 2) high definition movies. The Sony PS3 is attracting both types of consumers so I can see them catching up. I bought a new 40 GB PS3 mainly for BluRay movies for $300 and upgraded it with a 250 GB hard drive, my Xbox360 is still my main console, and my pc is for surfing the web. I got tired of upgrading the parts. It was fine b4 the xbox360/ps3 came out but it doesn’t make sense to upgrade it again when the cost outweights the benefits.

    • menotyou48
    • 12 years ago

    Danger,
    “Don’t forget, these are all North American numbers.”
    The original post was pertaining to an increase of sales of ps3’s in Europe which means that none of the information contained in the link you posted pertains to this discussion.

    • JustAnEngineer
    • 12 years ago

    PS3 is a great Blu-ray player. That alone may tip more people to buying one. It did for me.

    • Krogoth
    • 12 years ago

    More like PS3 will sale better this year, but still falls a little short of 360. $399 low-end model is primary reason why PS3 will do better along a few upcoming exclusive, blockbusters.

      • AKing
      • 12 years ago

      Sounds reasonable, there are some interesting games coming up. Not to mean, i dont game much anymore :P. But in general.

      • marvelous
      • 12 years ago

      PS3 is already outselling xbox360. People who wanted an xbox already have them. PS3 in the other hand I think a lot of people were waiting for price drops. PS3 is just a better buy now that BlueRay is in the banks.

        • Krogoth
        • 12 years ago

        That is the irony.

        PS3 is only selling well as a Blu-Ray player not as a gaming console.

          • green
          • 12 years ago

          yes. but when a good game does eventually come along:
          “oh how wonderful. my blu-ray player happens to play that game. gee i’m glad i bought a that particular model of blu-ray player.”
          so yes there aren’t too many great titles for the ps3
          and the AAA titles are taking years to develop/complete
          as are a lot of games designed for ps3 (and aren’t a simple port)
          so don’t you think it’s nice the ps3 can be used as something else while you wait for games? (if you’re going to use it as a game machine at all)

          as a note there’s also the minor sub-section of ps3’s being sold for folding@home farms
          while it’s nice they’re helping out i’d put these people in the more money than brains category

    • flip-mode
    • 12 years ago

    As much as I dislike Sony, with Blue Ray winning it is unlikely that my first high-def player will be anything other than a PS3.

    • marvelous
    • 12 years ago

    xbox has fizzled from it’s graphical prowess and mediocre titles mostly of FPS. There aren’t too many titles even worth playing on the xbox 360 which most PC enthusiasts already enjoy most of XBOX 360 titles on their PC with better hardware.

    2008 is PS3 will reign supreme. All the hot titles are coming out this year from MGS4, FFX13, and so on.

    Yeah Xbox Live is better but you pay to connect. That is huge chip on Microsoft shoulder when PC industry and Sony does not charge for online play.

      • FubbHead
      • 12 years ago

      I dunno… Microsoft have bought a number of nice exclusive titles… Alan Wake, Lost Odyssey, Too Human, to name a few. And there’s also a lot of games coming to both consoles.

      I wonder if this is the grim future we’re facing… These super corporations buying themselves exclusive titles. Blah… Go Nintendo! 🙂

      • Hootermancs
      • 12 years ago

      How has xbox fizzled? The PS3 is not over powering the 360 in gfx right now, so I don’t understand your statement.

      Yeah, wow, your extensive list of “all the hot titles” coming out this year for PS3 is convincing. 360 gets Ninja Gaiden 2, Splinter Cell, Too Human, Fable 2 and hopefully Gears of War 2. So to put it in your words, “2008 is 360 will reign supreme.”

        • marvelous
        • 12 years ago

        But most of those titles I can enjoy on the PC. Xbox is like PC wanna be for those kitty folks who can’t game on a PC.

          • Tommyxx516
          • 12 years ago

          I think everyone on here owns a pc but not everyone owns a console. I own both a good pc, a xbox360, and a ps3 and I can tell u, the gaming experience is far better on a console than a pc.

          Listing a handful of titles that’s available on multiplatform isn’t the same as owning a console and having access to a larger and diverse game selection thats only available on console. Alot of ppl on this forum are pc enthusiast who actually upgrade or build their own pc’s; the general public does not and aren’t likely to spend $200 bucks on a videocard. I stopped jumping on the whole ‘upgrade bandwagon’ a long time ago.

          Also, I think you get alot more value out of $300-$400 ps3/xbox360 than you would upgrading parts for a pc. It also offers a better gaming experience (graphics, sound, and simplicity).

            • marvelous
            • 12 years ago

            True but console graphics gets dated with the latest greatest PC games. I love consoles too but xbox 360 is just a wanna be PC gaming machine. I already have a PC and all I need to do is stick a $100 graphics card to match xbox 360 graphics.

            1280×720 resolution? You can do this with 8600gt.

            • YvonneJean
            • 12 years ago

            That depends on types of games. There are no MMO’s, good ports anyways. Until there is a keyboard and mouse on a console there won’t be either. Your statement is false for someone who cares mainly for MMOs.

      • Krogoth
      • 12 years ago

      Wrong, 2008 is the year that Wii’s sheer momentum will start to become very apparent.

      Demand is still darn strong for the Wii! It is a PITA to find a unit at a B&M store.

        • indeego
        • 12 years ago

        “Wrong, 2008 is the year that Wii’s sheer momentum will start to become very apparent.”

        This doesn’t make sense. What about the sheer momentum will be apparentg{

          • Krogoth
          • 12 years ago

          The sheer marketshare of the Wii and game developers will follow suit.

          The ratio of PS3, 360 and Wii titles will make it clear.

        • marvelous
        • 12 years ago

        You are the one who is wrong. Does Nintendo even have consoles for sale?

        Not to mention there aren’t too many blockbuster titles coming out for the Wii this year. Wii might be getting more titles but most of them are garbage. NWP

          • Krogoth
          • 12 years ago

          I guess you have never taken a good look at console war history. There is one consistent factor since day one. Hardware never has made the console successful. It is the software and marketshare that makes a console successful.

          Yes, Nintendo has consoles for sale. It is just that demand is still so high that they are literately flying off the shelves. It has been like that since the official launch of the Wii. It has never been the same for PS3 or 360. IIRC, the last time that a gaming consoles was hard to find for months after its launch was the PS2. 😉

          PS3 has been having problems moving off the shelves. It will got more pick-up as the expected $399 low-end model comes around. What is funny is that PS3 is being commonly bought as an affordable BR player not as a gaming console. Talk about irony.

          The Wii is following on the footsteps of PS2. Its market share is simply too large for developers to ignore. I have already seen geekagms for the rumors of an upcoming SW lightsaber duel game for the Wii. There are tons of gameplay possibilities that Wimmote opens up for developers that were difficult to do with classical gamepads.

          The Wii is also having success in demographics that traditionally most other consoles have failed to get a good foothold in (middle-age adults and elderly).

            • marvelous
            • 12 years ago

            Oh please you act like you are the only one who follows the gaming industry.

            Can nintendo supply their Wii to the mass? Of course not. They’ve been having supply problems from release.

            Wii is cool and all but nintendo isn’t releasing anything spectacular far as games go this year other than smash brothers. You are dreaming if you think some blockbuster title hits with some unknown 3rd party. Sony is releasing many blockbuster titles this year.

            Wii will always be cool to be with the family and friends but far as FFX goes Wii can’t match it.

            • BenBasson
            • 12 years ago

            l[

    • Usacomp2k3
    • 12 years ago

    If they can get the price down…

    • MixedPower
    • 12 years ago

    Normally I would simply dismiss a claim like this one. However, I imagine that EA could have a massive impact on hardware sales for either console if they really wanted to. I guess it kinda depends on how much they want this prediction to come true.

    • Lord.Blue
    • 12 years ago

    Three words: not bloody likely.

    • wingless
    • 12 years ago

    Playstations always had a slow start but then catch on as software catches up to the superior hardware. Remember the PS2?

      • cynan
      • 12 years ago

      /[

      • DaveJB
      • 12 years ago

      It’s not exactly as if the PS2 was being outsold by the Dreamcast in it’s first year though, is it? Its game line-up may have been pretty lousy to begin with, but in terms of console sales it still left the PS1, N64 and DC in the dust.

      • Krogoth
      • 12 years ago

      PS2 didn’t have the superior hardware for its generation what so ever. It was the middle of the line.

      If anything the PS3 is a lot like the Xbox I.

      PS2 had one huge advantage over its competitors. Its software library by far outpaced Xbox I and GC. It also had tons of solid software franchises under its belt.

    • PRIME1
    • 12 years ago

    Eh, no surprise really. Microsoft’s year lead was much of what it had going for it.

    • tocatl
    • 12 years ago

    Its not going to happen, the other year sony said the same and it didnt happen, the ps3 is not dead but its sells are still low, also ps3 titles are taking a lot time to get a release date…

    • Toasty
    • 12 years ago

    Europe is going to be the linchpin of Sony’s efforts to get a decent foothold in the console market. It just doesn’t have the mindshare in the US that it has in the rest of the world, since it is not legally able to own a network outright in the US since it’s headquartered in Japan. Everywhere else there are multiple Sony channels on TV where they can run “free” advertising for PS3, Bluray, etc.
    Japan is in the bag since Japanese hate the 360 and love national champions like Sony, and the US is the 360 stronghold, so EA is right on in saying that Europe is the tipping point in 2008 for Sony’s fortunes. The MS brand is pretty banged up in the EU due to all the antitrust troubles, and Sony can capitalize in a big way thanks to the price cut and enticing bundles like the 40GB model, 2 new games (Uncharted, R&C, etc) and an extra controller for 480 euros. Sounds expensive when you convert to dollars, but it’s not bad when you consider that a Wii+Wii Sports(w/controller)+extra nunchuck costs ~350 euros. That’s over $500. Yikes!

      • MrJP
      • 12 years ago

      I’m not sure where your European pricing numbers are coming from, but here in the UK the Wii (including Wii Sports & one Wiimote) is £180 and the nunchuk is £15 (assuming you can find them). So £195 all together, and this includes 17.5% VAT. So £166 ex VAT, roughly equivalent to $330 at current exchange rates, which I believe is about the same as the pre-tax price in the States? Interestingly this pricing hasn’t changed since I bought mine in December 06.

      The PS3 40Gb with one Sixaxis controller is £280 (inc VAT), or bundled with a couple of games for £330. While a lot cheaper now than it was back when I bought my Wii, it’s still not really competing in the same market.

      I can see a few more people here buying it purely as a HD video player now that the last few studios seem to be swaying towards BR, but it will still take the release of a decent game or two (Gran Turismo 5 perhaps) for it to really overtake the Xbox 360 in the “more expensive than a Wii” console market.

        • Toasty
        • 12 years ago

        My numbers are coming from Ireland, which is in the Euro-zone. I recently purchased a Wii+nunchuck+Wii Play(w/extra remote+nunchuck) from HMV for ~350 euros (280 for the Wii, 20 for the nunchuck, and 50 for Wii Play).
        HMV is currently advertising a 40GB PS3+2 games+Bluetooth remote for 480 euros.

    • Damage
    • 12 years ago

    This info puts current-gen console sales into perspective, BTW:

    §[< http://blog.shacknews.com/blogarticle.x/50831<]§

    • DaveJB
    • 12 years ago

    As important as Europe is, Sony really needs to get things going in Japan again. Sure, they’re outselling the 360 3:1 there… but the PS3 is itself being outsold 3:1 by the Wii! Considering how much the PS2 mopped up over there, the PS3’s performance has just been shameful until now.

      • DASQ
      • 12 years ago

      System longevity is what they’re probably counting on to pull them through in the long run. It might take awhile to catch up to the Wii, but Nintendo will have to release another console within 3-4 years to stay competitive.

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