IBM predicts five innovations for the next five years

As the end of the year approaches, analysts and pundits are lining up their predictions for what’s coming in the next one. IBM is looking a little deeper into the future, and the company has released a video outlining five innovations it thinks we’ll see come to fruition in the next five years. Check it out:

For those who haven’t watched the video, IBM expects we’ll see sensors in personal electronics devices tapped for large-scale environmental data collection, the emergence of interactive holographic interfaces, a tenfold increase in battery life, greater recycling of the heat produced by data centers, and the rise of adaptive traffic systems that make GPS a heck of a lot smarter. Also, CPUs will get faster, GPUs will gain more shader cores, and SSD prices will fall—although people will still complain that they’re way too expensive.

Some of IBM’s predictions are more outlandish than others. Given the progress we’ve seen over the last five years, it seems doubtful than the next half-decade will really better battery life by an order of magnitude. And, while I’d love a holographic display within the next five years, somehow I don’t see it happening.

That said, GPS devices are already becoming smarter and data centers more efficient about how they use energy. The foundation certainly exists for large-scale data collection, as well, although its success may depend more on peoples’ willingness to share information about their surroundings than the technology itself. Thanks to Tested for the tip.

Comments closed
    • ssway
    • 9 years ago

    Good luck with those dreams. In the next 5 years you will be pushing shopping carts through the wastelands and eating corpses while fending for your lives. The dream is over…

      • travbrad
      • 9 years ago

      Happy holidays!

      • indeego
      • 9 years ago

      Duke will not be out, eitherg{<.<}g

      • PenGun
      • 9 years ago

      Yeah I’m playing FNV as well ;).

    • anotherengineer
    • 9 years ago

    I predict that the blendtec blender will be the bestest blender ever known to man.

    Will IT Blend

    §[< http://www.willitblend.com/< ]§ edit - ipad lol §[<http://www.willitblend.com/videos.aspx?type=unsafe&video=ipad<]§

    • Bensam123
    • 9 years ago

    Some of these technologies are already here, like recycling heat from data centers and smart traffic systems (although not completely personalized). Some of those other predictions seem rather… far fetched, such as the battery upgrades that we’ve never heard about that will all happen within five years and instantly answer all of our problems.

    Overall this just seems like a poorly thought up PR stunt.

    • ronch
    • 9 years ago

    Does IBM have these technologies under development in their labs or is merely looking at the crystal ball what they’ve resorted to doing lately?

    • ludi
    • 9 years ago

    I predict that within five years, IBM will finally be able to render high-quality 3D graphics.

    • Corrado
    • 9 years ago

    I don’t see why battery increases wouldn’t be at least 2-3 fold. 5 years ago 2 hours was a decent amount of time for your laptop to run. Now we ahve 10-12 hour laptops. In another 5 years we could double that again, that would likely be ‘good enough’ for most people.

    • liquidsquid
    • 9 years ago

    Here are my joyful predictions:
    1. The government in the US on both state and federal level will tax us into uncompetitive oblivion and we start shifting back to riding horses and farming. The middle-class will become surfs to the ultra-rich.
    2. It will all get blamed on “the other party”.
    3. Solar energy harvesting will still suck in the more northern climates.
    4. Holographic p0rn causes mass starvation and poor social skills of young men so it is abolished and outlawed.
    5. Technology-savvy people will still be unhappy with the performance of their cars/computers/digital cameras (if they can spare the money before paying taxes).
    6. Global warming causes folks in the NE US to rejoice for the shorter winter and lower heating bills and NYC finally floating off into the ocean.
    7. Bats will be all gone in the US, frogs and toads next :-(.
    8. Cars/trucks will still be run from gas, and gas will cost a small fortune. Electric cars will still cost more to drive.

      • NeelyCam
      • 9 years ago

      l[

    • geekl33tgamer
    • 9 years ago

    *cough* Someone at IBM’s been smoking something…

    • Buzzard44
    • 9 years ago

    Holograms commonplace in five years? Give me a break IBM.

    In other news, I predict that in five years I’ll get dual-citizenship and become both the queen of England and the president of the US.

    </sarcasm>

      • BoBzeBuilder
      • 9 years ago

      Thanks. Without that sarcasm tag, I wouldn’t be able to tell if you’re serious.

    • yogibbear
    • 9 years ago

    Seems all pretty boring and not worth waiting for. I bet something else will happen that is not expected that is 100 times cooler than any of these predictions.

    E.g. T-shirts that change colour will become fashionable again…

    • indeego
    • 9 years ago

    “2. Solar energy becomes cost-competitive with coal”

    Concentrated Solar: Yes, it’s already been there, all we need is to build it horizontally and vertically.

    Solar cells: Nog{<.<}g

      • jcw122
      • 9 years ago

      What video were you watching? They didn’t mention that.

        • indeego
        • 9 years ago

        /[<#2<]//Blastdoor's comment belowg{<.<}g

      • blastdoor
      • 9 years ago

      keep in mind that the cost of coal is unlikely to remain fixed…

        • indeego
        • 9 years ago

        Nor is the cost of petroleum, which is used in 99.999% of supply chains on the planetg{<.<}g

        • NeelyCam
        • 9 years ago

        Yes – it’s bound to go up along with chinese demand.

        Wait. I just stated the obvious. FML.

    • indeego
    • 9 years ago

    Watch @ 3:08

    /[<*[

      • khands
      • 9 years ago

      I’m missing whatever’s supposed to happen there.

      • wibeasley
      • 9 years ago

      The merging accident on the near cloverleaf? I wonder how safe holographic cars will be.

        • indeego
        • 9 years ago

        They were touting how this new-found techno-world will help prevent such accidents/route around, and here they are showing us a visualization of an accident with wondrous IBM technology. I dunno, seems like kind’ve an oversight to meg{<.<}g

      • NeelyCam
      • 9 years ago

      Priceless. Made me smile.

      • ludi
      • 9 years ago

      Nifty.

      • 5150
      • 9 years ago

      You have issues.

      • TaBoVilla
      • 9 years ago

      indee I had to watch that over 10 times to catch it, and I KNEW what i was looking for =) …how on earth..

    • indeego
    • 9 years ago

    Wake me when this video is already RSS’d into my dreamsg{<.<}g

    • Tumbleweed
    • 9 years ago

    Such a dramatic increase in battery life depends on the mass production of certain technologies that already work in the labs. If that happens, then yeah, you could see such a huge increase in battery life right away. It may _seem_ like it will happen quickly, but it’ll have been based on technology in development for a seriously long time.

      • khands
      • 9 years ago

      There was mention some time ago about a virus common in the tobacco plant that could be used in increasing battery surface area by 10x because it can bond to metal or something.

    • albundy
    • 9 years ago

    “IBM expects we’ll see sensors in personal electronics devices”

    you mean tracking devices, right? where corporations can bombard you with personalized spam? isn’t it enough that they lobby to do us enough harm?

    • blastdoor
    • 9 years ago

    Here are my predictions for the next full decade:

    1. Some degree of neural interface with mobile computing devices becomes mainstream (as in iPhone-levels of sales), but does NOT involve any kind of implants
    2. Solar energy becomes cost-competitive with coal
    3. Cars that use liquid fuel will still outsell cars that don’t
    4. Alzheimers will become treatable and/or preventable
    5. Apple market cap reaches 1 trillion dollars

      • esterhasz
      • 9 years ago

      4 and 5 are mutually exclusive…

        • blastdoor
        • 9 years ago

        har har har.

        • TaBoVilla
        • 9 years ago

        touché

      • JSchwetz
      • 9 years ago

      LOL @ #2…

    • crabjokeman
    • 9 years ago

    “Given the progress we’ve seen over the last five years, it seems doubtful than the next *[

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